From Christopher Dickey, the author of "Our Man in Charleston: Britain's Secret Agent in the Civil War South" and "Securing the City," this site provides updates and footnotes on history, espionage, terrorism, fanaticism, policing and counterinsurgency linked to Dickey's columns for The Daily Beast and his other writings; also, occasional dialogues, diatribes, and contributions from friends.
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Friday, June 29, 2012
A Refugee App for iPhone and Android
This is a disturbing new app for Android and iPhone. It’s a comic book version of life as a refugee, sanitized and horrifying at the same time, that asks you to make one terrible choice after another. It appears to have grown out of the UNHCR’s live-action simulation of refugee life at Davos and elsewhere (see my article and video, The Street Theater from Hell). The app is free. Refugees are not.
Tuesday, June 26, 2012
Check out "Game of Thrones in Saudi Arabia" and audio web discussion of French politics today, plus relevant reruns
Newsweek International: A Game of Thrones in Saudi Arabian Succession Plans, 25 June 2012
Succession plans in Saudi Arabia give stability, for now.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/24/a-game-of-thrones-in-saudi-arabian-succession-plans.html
Audio: French-American Foundation Webinar: France's shift to the left and the prospects for change, 21 June 2012
The French-American Foundation welcomed Christopher Dickey, Paris Bureau Chief of Newsweek magazine, for a webinar to discuss the new balance of political power and how the new French government promises to change the political life and policies of France and Europe. Mr. Dickey explored a number of topics, including the economy, France's international policy, and social issues.
http://frenchamerican.org/events/webinar-le-changement-et-maintenant-frances-shift-left-and-prospects-change-christopher
And, in case you missed them earlier:
Video: France 24 The World This Week, 22 June 2012
Talking Egypt, Syria, Euro, Marijuana in Uruguay (in 2 parts) http://t.co/RlhT70MI
A Daily Beast Column with Video: The Forgotten Lives of Refugees, 19 June 2012
Christopher Dickey talks to António Guterres, the United Nations' high commissioner for refugees, about the world's desperate, dispirited, and displaced.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/19/the-forgotten-lives-of-refugees.html
And some relevant reruns:
On immigration in Arizona:
SCOTUS UPHOLDS THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF ARIZONA LAW: SEE MY "Immigrants Actually Reduce Crime" (2010) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/05/27/reading-ranting-and-arithmetic.html
On MI5's dire predictions about the Arab Spring:
IT'S NOT JUST MI5 http://bit.ly/LYWaTb : WHY WESTERN SPOOKS HATE THE ARAB SPRING (PUBLISHED IN JUNE 2011) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/06/12/how-the-arab-spring-has-weakened-u-s-intelligence.html via @newsweek
Succession plans in Saudi Arabia give stability, for now.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/24/a-game-of-thrones-in-saudi-arabian-succession-plans.html
Audio: French-American Foundation Webinar: France's shift to the left and the prospects for change, 21 June 2012
The French-American Foundation welcomed Christopher Dickey, Paris Bureau Chief of Newsweek magazine, for a webinar to discuss the new balance of political power and how the new French government promises to change the political life and policies of France and Europe. Mr. Dickey explored a number of topics, including the economy, France's international policy, and social issues.
http://frenchamerican.org/events/webinar-le-changement-et-maintenant-frances-shift-left-and-prospects-change-christopher
And, in case you missed them earlier:
Video: France 24 The World This Week, 22 June 2012
Talking Egypt, Syria, Euro, Marijuana in Uruguay (in 2 parts) http://t.co/RlhT70MI
A Daily Beast Column with Video: The Forgotten Lives of Refugees, 19 June 2012
Christopher Dickey talks to António Guterres, the United Nations' high commissioner for refugees, about the world's desperate, dispirited, and displaced.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/19/the-forgotten-lives-of-refugees.html
And some relevant reruns:
On immigration in Arizona:
SCOTUS UPHOLDS THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF ARIZONA LAW: SEE MY "Immigrants Actually Reduce Crime" (2010) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/05/27/reading-ranting-and-arithmetic.html
On MI5's dire predictions about the Arab Spring:
IT'S NOT JUST MI5 http://bit.ly/LYWaTb : WHY WESTERN SPOOKS HATE THE ARAB SPRING (PUBLISHED IN JUNE 2011) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/06/12/how-the-arab-spring-has-weakened-u-s-intelligence.html via @newsweek
Wednesday, June 20, 2012
Tuesday, June 12, 2012
Check out "Ray Kelly's Wars," video panel on Syria and Egypt, the Diamond Jubilee as doomsday, and more
Newsweek: Ray Kelly's NYPD Battles with the FBI, 11 June 2011
The New YorkCity Police Commissioner is beating the enemy—if only the feds don't get in his way.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/10/ray-kelly-s-nypd-battles-with-the-fbi.html
Video: France 24: The World This Week, 8 June 2011
In Syria, reports of a massacre near Hama: at least 55 people including women and children were shot or stabbed to death by government militias who then proceeded to burn their bodies. Is this a turning point in the Syrian crisis?
http://www.france24.com/en/20120608-the-world-this-week-june8
A Daily Beast column: After the Queen's Jubilee, a Sobering Summer, 8 June 2011
The collapse of Greece. Elections in Cairo. Venus in transit. While Britain partied, the rest of the world continued to fall apart. Why the worst is yet to come.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/08/after-the-queen-s-jubilee-a-sobering-summer.html
Newsweek International: Quants, Derivatives, and the Myth of the Rogue Trader, 21 May 2011
Their teacher tried to tell them they were headed for trouble, but high on risk and volatility, the Quants of France didn't listen.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/20/quants-derivatives-and-the-myth-of-the-rogue-trader.html
Newsweek: Ibrahim al-Asiri: The Body Bomb Menace, 14 May 2011, with Dan Klaidman
A secret report obtained by Newsweek lays out the diabolical plans of al Qaeda's bomb guru: evading airport scanners by surgically implanting explosives in a terrorist's love handles.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/13/al-qaeda-s-body-bombs-al-asiri-s-next-threat.html
The New YorkCity Police Commissioner is beating the enemy—if only the feds don't get in his way.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/10/ray-kelly-s-nypd-battles-with-the-fbi.html
Video: France 24: The World This Week, 8 June 2011
In Syria, reports of a massacre near Hama: at least 55 people including women and children were shot or stabbed to death by government militias who then proceeded to burn their bodies. Is this a turning point in the Syrian crisis?
http://www.france24.com/en/20120608-the-world-this-week-june8
A Daily Beast column: After the Queen's Jubilee, a Sobering Summer, 8 June 2011
The collapse of Greece. Elections in Cairo. Venus in transit. While Britain partied, the rest of the world continued to fall apart. Why the worst is yet to come.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/08/after-the-queen-s-jubilee-a-sobering-summer.html
Newsweek International: Quants, Derivatives, and the Myth of the Rogue Trader, 21 May 2011
Their teacher tried to tell them they were headed for trouble, but high on risk and volatility, the Quants of France didn't listen.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/20/quants-derivatives-and-the-myth-of-the-rogue-trader.html
Newsweek: Ibrahim al-Asiri: The Body Bomb Menace, 14 May 2011, with Dan Klaidman
A secret report obtained by Newsweek lays out the diabolical plans of al Qaeda's bomb guru: evading airport scanners by surgically implanting explosives in a terrorist's love handles.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/13/al-qaeda-s-body-bombs-al-asiri-s-next-threat.html
Europe: Still Crazy After All These Years, and Christopher Dickey cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart
The Daily Beast: Obama: Pay Attention to Europe, 8 May 2012
As this weekend's elections showed, mainstream parties are losing ground to extreme politicians. (Includes a video: Flowers on the Walls of Paris: Memories of War and Questions about European Unity)
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/05/08/obama-pay-attention-to-europe.html
Christopher Dickey's cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart:
http://gawker.com/5908440/jon-stewart-has-some-questions-for-france
As this weekend's elections showed, mainstream parties are losing ground to extreme politicians. (Includes a video: Flowers on the Walls of Paris: Memories of War and Questions about European Unity)
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/05/08/obama-pay-attention-to-europe.html
Christopher Dickey's cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart:
http://gawker.com/5908440/jon-stewart-has-some-questions-for-france
The 14 Foiled Terror Plots Against New York City Since 9/11
Below is the list of 14 terrorist plots that have either been foiled or failed "on Ray Kelly's watch" at the New York City Police Department. Many were stopped as a result of cooperation with the U.S. government agencies that the cops sometimes call "the three-letter guys": the FBI, the CIA, and the NSA among them. Sometimes only one, or none, of those other agencies was involved. In the Pimentel case, the FBI dropped out. And several plots were thwarted because of close U.S. cooperation with foreign, especially British, intelligence services. (The NYPD also maintains its own liaisons with British, French and other intelligence operations.) One plot, the Faisal Shahzad attempt to blow up a car in Times Square, failed partly because it has gotten a lot harder to buy bomb making materials in the United States without setting off alarms. Shahzad planned meticulously, and was well trained in Pakistan, but he worried more about the alarms than the effectiveness of the explosives, and they fizzled. Luck played a big role saving New York from that attack.
Except in the Brooklyn Bridge case, it is hard to say with any precision how much the massive and unpredictable deployments of police around the city actually serve to deter terrorist activities. And there are no detailed matrices for judging the activities of the Intelligence Division of the NYPD, which generally is exempted from the otherwise pervasive CompStat system for police accountability. The Intelligence Division, under former CIA director of clandestine services David Cohen, focuses on gathering information and penetrating suspect groups rather than on arrests and prosecutions. It aims to disrupt potential plots in their early stages through what amounts to intimidation and by sowing distrust among possible conspirators. (See SECURING THE CITY, especially "The Warehouse: From Sharing to Trading," pp 140-151, and "Clusters: Homegrown Terrorism and National Resources," pp 228-238, which includes a report on congressional testimony by Lawrence H. Sanchez, pp 236-238.) In a strange and revealing remark, Larry Sanchez, another of the CIA veterans in the NYPD Intelligence Division for much of the last decade, told a Senate committee in 2007: "Part of our mission is to protect New York City citizens from becoming terrorists," in effect disrupting plots before the plotters themselves were sure what they were doing.
Because there are no spread-sheets of arrests and convictions to present as evidence that extensive terrorist activities have been discovered, deterred and disrupted, the NYPD points to the most fundamental bottom line: no plots have succeeded. And it points to this list of those publicly known attempts to New York that have been thwarted, whether by the police, the feds, good teamwork, bad teamwork, or the incompetence of the terrorists themselves:
1. BROOKLYN BRIDGE - Iyman Faris, a U.S.-based, al Qaeda operative, planned to cut the bridge’s support cables but was deterred by the NYPD’s 24-hour coverage of the bridge. Faris sent al Qaeda leaders a coded message that, “the weather is too hot,” a reference to police presence. He was arrested in 2003, pleaded guilty and sentenced to federal prison. [SEE SECURING THE CITY, pp 82 - 96, "The Second Wave: Not the Best-Laid Plans"]
2. SUBWAY CYANIDE - A plot to disperse cyanide gas in the subway system was called off at the last minute by Iyman Zawahiri for what he said was “something bigger.” [SECURING THE CITY, p 93]
3. NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE; CITIGROUP HEADQUARTERS - Al Qaeda plot to use vehicles to bomb the New York Stock Exchange, Citibank, and other financial institutions. NYPD tactical teams were deployed to high-threat locations, and vehicle inspections were increased in response. Dhiren Barot/Issa al-Hindi, an associate of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, pleaded guilty in 2006. [SECURING THE CITY, 181-182, 192-194, 203-204, 210, 262-263]
4. GARMENT DISTRICT PLOT - The NYPD and FBI arrested Uzair Paracha in New York based on intelligence developed overseas. Paracha is reported to have discussed with top al Qaeda leaders the prospect of smuggling weapons and explosives – possibly even a nuclear device—into Manhattan’s Garment District through his father’s import-export business. [SECURING THE CITY, 90, 95, 154-155, 158]
5. HERALD SQUARE SUBWAY STATION - An NYPD undercover officer helped disrupt a 2004 plot to bomb the Herald Square subway station by lone-wolf admirers of Al Qaeda. Shahawar Matin Siraj and James Elshafay were exposed as conspiring to blow up the 34th Street subway station, including surveilling the subway station, choosing the location for their bombs, and diagramming entrances and exits. SECURING THE CITY, 187-199]
6. PATH TRAIN and WTC RETAINING WALL - A multi-agency investigation disrupted a plot to attack NYC’s underground transit link with New Jersey in 2006. Law enforcement monitoring international chat rooms discovered suspects’ plan to destroy a PATH train tunnel and the retaining wall at Ground Zero, to flood the New York Financial District. The main operative was taken into custody in Lebanon and admitted to plotting the attack. [SECURING THE CITY, p 233]
7. JFK AIRPORT/BUCKEYE PIPELINE - Al Qaeda sympathizers plotted to bomb the fuel tanks and pipeline at John F. Kennedy Airport, through which jet fuel is transported from New Jersey through Staten Island, Brooklyn, and Queens. Four suspects were arrested in New York and Trinidad in 2007; three were later sentenced to life in prison. [SECURING THE CITY, p 235]
8. TRANSATLANTIC PLOT – A British-based plot to destroy seven commercial aircraft over the Atlantic Ocean or fly one or more of them into East Coast targets including New York City results in multiple arrests in London.
9. LONG ISLAND RAILROAD - A plot to bomb a Manhattan-bound LIRR commuter train was discussed at the highest levels of al Qaeda operational leadership. See Bryant Neal Vinas of Long Island.
10. BRONX SYNAGOGUES – Disrupted in May 2009, the Riverdale plot targeted two Jewish centers—a synagogue and a Jewish community center—in the Bronx, and Stewart Air Base in Newburgh, NY. The NYPD and FBI arrested four men who were convicted in 2010. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009.]
11. NYC SUBWAY; TRANSIT HUBS - In September 2009, Najibullah Zazi and others planned a series of coordinated suicide bombings of NYC subway transit hubs at rush hour. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009, and details in Newsweek article, "Ray Kelly's Wars," 11 June 2012]
12. TIMES SQUARE - Faisal Shahzad attempted on May 1, 2010 to detonate a bomb inside an SUV parked in Times Square on a busy Saturday night. [see Newsweek, 53 Hours in the Life of a Near Disaster, and the Shadowland Journal, "Shahzad: The Rube Goldberg of Terrorism."
13. MANHATTAN SYNAGOGUE - The NYPD disrupted a plot by two Queens men, Ahmed Ferhani and Mohamed Mamdouh, to bomb a synagogue in Manhattan in May 2011.
14. JOSE PIMENTEL - Muslim convert Jose Pimentel was arrested in November 2011 in Manhattan as he constructed a pipe bomb he intended to use against police and government property. He had followed instructions in an article from Al Qaeda's English-language magazine "Inspire” on “How to Build a Bomb in the Kitchen of Your Mom."
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Except in the Brooklyn Bridge case, it is hard to say with any precision how much the massive and unpredictable deployments of police around the city actually serve to deter terrorist activities. And there are no detailed matrices for judging the activities of the Intelligence Division of the NYPD, which generally is exempted from the otherwise pervasive CompStat system for police accountability. The Intelligence Division, under former CIA director of clandestine services David Cohen, focuses on gathering information and penetrating suspect groups rather than on arrests and prosecutions. It aims to disrupt potential plots in their early stages through what amounts to intimidation and by sowing distrust among possible conspirators. (See SECURING THE CITY, especially "The Warehouse: From Sharing to Trading," pp 140-151, and "Clusters: Homegrown Terrorism and National Resources," pp 228-238, which includes a report on congressional testimony by Lawrence H. Sanchez, pp 236-238.) In a strange and revealing remark, Larry Sanchez, another of the CIA veterans in the NYPD Intelligence Division for much of the last decade, told a Senate committee in 2007: "Part of our mission is to protect New York City citizens from becoming terrorists," in effect disrupting plots before the plotters themselves were sure what they were doing.
Because there are no spread-sheets of arrests and convictions to present as evidence that extensive terrorist activities have been discovered, deterred and disrupted, the NYPD points to the most fundamental bottom line: no plots have succeeded. And it points to this list of those publicly known attempts to New York that have been thwarted, whether by the police, the feds, good teamwork, bad teamwork, or the incompetence of the terrorists themselves:
1. BROOKLYN BRIDGE - Iyman Faris, a U.S.-based, al Qaeda operative, planned to cut the bridge’s support cables but was deterred by the NYPD’s 24-hour coverage of the bridge. Faris sent al Qaeda leaders a coded message that, “the weather is too hot,” a reference to police presence. He was arrested in 2003, pleaded guilty and sentenced to federal prison. [SEE SECURING THE CITY, pp 82 - 96, "The Second Wave: Not the Best-Laid Plans"]
2. SUBWAY CYANIDE - A plot to disperse cyanide gas in the subway system was called off at the last minute by Iyman Zawahiri for what he said was “something bigger.” [SECURING THE CITY, p 93]
3. NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE; CITIGROUP HEADQUARTERS - Al Qaeda plot to use vehicles to bomb the New York Stock Exchange, Citibank, and other financial institutions. NYPD tactical teams were deployed to high-threat locations, and vehicle inspections were increased in response. Dhiren Barot/Issa al-Hindi, an associate of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, pleaded guilty in 2006. [SECURING THE CITY, 181-182, 192-194, 203-204, 210, 262-263]
4. GARMENT DISTRICT PLOT - The NYPD and FBI arrested Uzair Paracha in New York based on intelligence developed overseas. Paracha is reported to have discussed with top al Qaeda leaders the prospect of smuggling weapons and explosives – possibly even a nuclear device—into Manhattan’s Garment District through his father’s import-export business. [SECURING THE CITY, 90, 95, 154-155, 158]
5. HERALD SQUARE SUBWAY STATION - An NYPD undercover officer helped disrupt a 2004 plot to bomb the Herald Square subway station by lone-wolf admirers of Al Qaeda. Shahawar Matin Siraj and James Elshafay were exposed as conspiring to blow up the 34th Street subway station, including surveilling the subway station, choosing the location for their bombs, and diagramming entrances and exits. SECURING THE CITY, 187-199]
6. PATH TRAIN and WTC RETAINING WALL - A multi-agency investigation disrupted a plot to attack NYC’s underground transit link with New Jersey in 2006. Law enforcement monitoring international chat rooms discovered suspects’ plan to destroy a PATH train tunnel and the retaining wall at Ground Zero, to flood the New York Financial District. The main operative was taken into custody in Lebanon and admitted to plotting the attack. [SECURING THE CITY, p 233]
7. JFK AIRPORT/BUCKEYE PIPELINE - Al Qaeda sympathizers plotted to bomb the fuel tanks and pipeline at John F. Kennedy Airport, through which jet fuel is transported from New Jersey through Staten Island, Brooklyn, and Queens. Four suspects were arrested in New York and Trinidad in 2007; three were later sentenced to life in prison. [SECURING THE CITY, p 235]
8. TRANSATLANTIC PLOT – A British-based plot to destroy seven commercial aircraft over the Atlantic Ocean or fly one or more of them into East Coast targets including New York City results in multiple arrests in London.
9. LONG ISLAND RAILROAD - A plot to bomb a Manhattan-bound LIRR commuter train was discussed at the highest levels of al Qaeda operational leadership. See Bryant Neal Vinas of Long Island.
10. BRONX SYNAGOGUES – Disrupted in May 2009, the Riverdale plot targeted two Jewish centers—a synagogue and a Jewish community center—in the Bronx, and Stewart Air Base in Newburgh, NY. The NYPD and FBI arrested four men who were convicted in 2010. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009.]
11. NYC SUBWAY; TRANSIT HUBS - In September 2009, Najibullah Zazi and others planned a series of coordinated suicide bombings of NYC subway transit hubs at rush hour. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009, and details in Newsweek article, "Ray Kelly's Wars," 11 June 2012]
12. TIMES SQUARE - Faisal Shahzad attempted on May 1, 2010 to detonate a bomb inside an SUV parked in Times Square on a busy Saturday night. [see Newsweek, 53 Hours in the Life of a Near Disaster, and the Shadowland Journal, "Shahzad: The Rube Goldberg of Terrorism."
13. MANHATTAN SYNAGOGUE - The NYPD disrupted a plot by two Queens men, Ahmed Ferhani and Mohamed Mamdouh, to bomb a synagogue in Manhattan in May 2011.
14. JOSE PIMENTEL - Muslim convert Jose Pimentel was arrested in November 2011 in Manhattan as he constructed a pipe bomb he intended to use against police and government property. He had followed instructions in an article from Al Qaeda's English-language magazine "Inspire” on “How to Build a Bomb in the Kitchen of Your Mom."
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