Saturday, August 18, 2012

Check out "The Savage Wars of Peace" and my other recent articles on Syria, France, and Iran

  • The Savage Wars of Peace

     August 16, 2012 04:15 AM EDT
    Christopher Dickey on why calls for military intervention in Syria should be resisted.
  • Nights of Rage in France

     August 14, 2012 12:24 PM EDT
    Christopher Dickey on whether the French riots will spread.
  • Syria: There Goes the Neighborhood

     August 10, 2012 04:45 AM EDT
    Christopher Dickey on the threat of the Syrian war to neighboring states.
  • How Iran Is Losing The Shadow War

     August 07, 2012 01:22 PM EDT
    In Syria and around the world, Iran’s covert operatives are in trouble.
  • Wednesday, August 08, 2012

    Check out "Iran's Spies Losing the Shadow War" and background on alleged Iran/HB plots this year from NYPD

    Daily Beast Column: How Iran's Spies Are Losing the Shadow War With U.S. and Israel, 7 August 2012
    In Syria and around the world, Iran's covert operatives are in trouble.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/07/how-iran-s-spies-are-losing-the-shadow-war-with-us-and-israel.html
    (The vitriolic comments on this one are a little hard to follow, I confess.)

    Shadowland Journal: NYPD: Suspected Iranian and/or Hezbollah-linked Plots against Israeli or Jewish Targets: 2012 Chronology. Date 18 July 2012
    http://christopherdickey.blogspot.fr/2012/08/nypd-suspected-iranian-andor-hezbollah.html

    Check out "Our Man in Syria?"; "New York's New Tech Hub"; and a crazy debate about Romney in Israel

    Newsweek: Manaf Tlass—Our Man in Syria? 6 August 2012
    by Christopher Dickey and Mike Giglio
    Who is Manaf Tlass and why do western and regional powers pin their hopes on him?
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/08/05/manaf-tlass-our-man-in-syria.html
    (This is from Newsweek International. A shorter version ran in the US Newsweek)

    Newsweek: New York's New Tech Hub, 30 July 2012
    Will New York's latest dream spawn the next Mark Zuckerberg?
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/29/roosevelt-island-new-york-s-new-tech-hub.html
    (The unique partnership among NY's City Hall, Cornell University and Technion-Israel Institute of Technology.)

    Video on France24 Debate: Romney stirs controversy on bumpy foreign trip, 1 August 2012
    Gaffe-prone, wannabe or savvy statesman, Western media has slammed Mitt Romney's tour of American allies, but US opinion polls tell a different story. Laura Baines and her panel discuss the Republican candidate's choice of destinations and what they mean.
    http://www.france24.com/en/20120801-2012-08-01-0010-debate-obama-romney-foreign-policy-lobby-presidential-election
    (Warning: Some of this debate with a Republican spokesman and an Israeli analyst verges on the surreal.)

    NYPD: Suspected Iranian and/or Hezbollah-linked Plots against Israeli or Jewish Targets: 2012 Chronology. Date 18 July 2012


    Monday, July 16, 2012

    Check out The Next Wonder of the World by Rem Koolhaas; An Arab Spring Success Story (maybe); plus audio on the BBC and video on France 24

    Newsweek Magazine: Architect Rem Koolhaas and the Next World Wonder, 16 July 2012
    When the Olympics hits the airwaves, Beijing will be broadcasting them from this new $900 million architectural masterpiece.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/15/architect-rem-koolhaas-and-the-next-world-wonder.html


    Newsweek International: Will Libya be an Arab Spring Success Story?, 16 July 2012
    Jul 16, 2012 1:00 AM EDT
    Libya has new leadership—and oil. Now it just needs to unify.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/15/will-libya-be-an-arab-spring-success-story.html


    Audio: BBC World Service Radio: The World Today Weekend: 14 July 2012 (0700 GMT)
    Paul Henley is joined by Caroline Daniel of the FT and Christopher Dickey of Newsweek
    bbc.in/MsxE8A

    Video: France 24: The World This Week - 13 July 2012
    The UK tabloid press sizes up France's new president and focuses on his height (1m70) but the joke could be on François Hollande's hosts: when the French leader warns of a multi-speed Europe, does it mean an eventual divorce between Britain and Europe?
    f24.my/ODfEsC


    Check out Newsweek International: Sky Cities: Imagining the Airport of the Future as Destination, 9 July 2012

    Newsweek International: Sky Cities: Imagining the Airport of the Future as Destination, 9 July 2012
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/08/sky-cities-imagining-the-airport-of-the-future-as-destination.html

    (This is the first of three travel and design pieces I'll be writing this month, along with the usual coverage of politics, conflict, pestilence...)


    Sunday, July 15, 2012

    French soldiers and their missions

    French cavalryman on the Champs Elysées yesterday morning before the Bastille Day Parade in Paris, France. The medals give an idea how much expeditionary work a young French soldier is likely to see: Tchad (Chad), Liban (Lebanon), Arme Blindée (Armor) and Missions d’Assistance Extérieure (Foreign Assistance Mission), Operations Exterieures (Foreign Operations), Ex.Yougoslavie (Ex-Yugoslavia), Tchad / RCA (Chad / CAR [Central African Republic]). And it seems his unit is not one of those that has served in Afghanistan.

    For more in this series visit Rues de Paradis.

    Friday, June 29, 2012

    A Refugee App for iPhone and Android


    This is a disturbing new app for Android and iPhone. It’s a comic book version of life as a refugee, sanitized and horrifying at the same time, that asks you to make one terrible choice after another. It appears to have grown out of the UNHCR’s live-action simulation of refugee life at Davos and elsewhere (see my article and video, The Street Theater from Hell). The app is free. Refugees are not.

    Tuesday, June 26, 2012

    Check out "Game of Thrones in Saudi Arabia" and audio web discussion of French politics today, plus relevant reruns

    Newsweek International: A Game of Thrones in Saudi Arabian Succession Plans, 25 June 2012
    Succession plans in Saudi Arabia give stability, for now.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/24/a-game-of-thrones-in-saudi-arabian-succession-plans.html

    Audio: French-American Foundation Webinar: France's shift to the left and the prospects for change, 21 June 2012
    The French-American Foundation welcomed Christopher Dickey, Paris Bureau Chief of Newsweek magazine, for a webinar to discuss the new balance of political power and how the new French government promises to change the political life and policies of France and Europe. Mr. Dickey explored a number of topics, including the economy, France's international policy, and social issues.
    http://frenchamerican.org/events/webinar-le-changement-et-maintenant-frances-shift-left-and-prospects-change-christopher

    And, in case you missed them earlier:

    Video: France 24 The World This Week, 22 June 2012
    Talking Egypt, Syria, Euro, Marijuana in Uruguay (in 2 parts)  http://t.co/RlhT70MI

    A Daily Beast Column with Video: The Forgotten Lives of Refugees, 19 June 2012
    Christopher Dickey talks to António Guterres, the United Nations' high commissioner for refugees, about the world's desperate, dispirited, and displaced.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/19/the-forgotten-lives-of-refugees.html

    And some relevant reruns:

    On immigration in Arizona:

    SCOTUS UPHOLDS THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF ARIZONA LAW: SEE MY "Immigrants Actually Reduce Crime" (2010) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/05/27/reading-ranting-and-arithmetic.html

    On MI5's dire predictions about the Arab Spring:

    IT'S NOT JUST MI5 http://bit.ly/LYWaTb : WHY WESTERN SPOOKS HATE THE ARAB SPRING (PUBLISHED IN JUNE 2011) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/06/12/how-the-arab-spring-has-weakened-u-s-intelligence.html via @newsweek

    Tuesday, June 12, 2012

    Check out "Ray Kelly's Wars," video panel on Syria and Egypt, the Diamond Jubilee as doomsday, and more

    Newsweek: Ray Kelly's NYPD Battles with the FBI, 11 June 2011
    The New YorkCity Police Commissioner is beating the enemy—if only the feds don't get in his way.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/10/ray-kelly-s-nypd-battles-with-the-fbi.html

    Video: France 24: The World This Week, 8 June 2011
    In Syria, reports of a massacre near Hama: at least 55 people including women and children were shot or stabbed to death by government militias who then proceeded to burn their bodies. Is this a turning point in the Syrian crisis?
    http://www.france24.com/en/20120608-the-world-this-week-june8

    A Daily Beast column: After the Queen's Jubilee, a Sobering Summer, 8 June 2011
    The collapse of Greece. Elections in Cairo. Venus in transit. While Britain partied, the rest of the world continued to fall apart. Why the worst is yet to come.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/08/after-the-queen-s-jubilee-a-sobering-summer.html

    Newsweek International: Quants, Derivatives, and the Myth of the Rogue Trader, 21 May 2011
    Their teacher tried to tell them they were headed for trouble, but high on risk and volatility, the Quants of France didn't listen.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/20/quants-derivatives-and-the-myth-of-the-rogue-trader.html

    Newsweek: Ibrahim al-Asiri: The Body Bomb Menace, 14 May 2011, with Dan Klaidman
    A secret report obtained by Newsweek lays out the diabolical plans of al Qaeda's bomb guru: evading airport scanners by surgically implanting explosives in a terrorist's love handles.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/13/al-qaeda-s-body-bombs-al-asiri-s-next-threat.html

    Europe: Still Crazy After All These Years, and Christopher Dickey cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

    The Daily Beast: Obama: Pay Attention to Europe, 8 May 2012
    As this weekend's elections showed, mainstream parties are losing ground to extreme politicians. (Includes a video: Flowers on the Walls of Paris: Memories of War and Questions about European Unity)
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/05/08/obama-pay-attention-to-europe.html

    Christopher Dickey's cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart:
    http://gawker.com/5908440/jon-stewart-has-some-questions-for-france



    The 14 Foiled Terror Plots Against New York City Since 9/11

    Below is the list of 14 terrorist plots that have either been foiled or failed "on Ray Kelly's watch" at the New York City Police Department. Many were stopped as a result of cooperation with the U.S. government agencies that the cops sometimes call "the three-letter guys": the FBI, the CIA, and the NSA among them. Sometimes only one, or none, of those other agencies was involved. In the Pimentel case, the FBI dropped out. And several plots were thwarted because of close U.S. cooperation with foreign, especially British, intelligence services. (The NYPD also maintains its own liaisons with British, French and other intelligence operations.) One plot, the Faisal Shahzad attempt to blow up a car in Times Square, failed partly because it has gotten a lot harder to buy bomb making materials in the United States without setting off alarms. Shahzad planned meticulously, and was well trained in Pakistan, but he worried more about the alarms than the effectiveness of the explosives, and they fizzled. Luck played a big role saving New York from that attack.
           Except in the Brooklyn Bridge case, it is hard to say with any precision how much the massive and unpredictable deployments of police around the city actually serve to deter terrorist activities. And there are no detailed matrices for judging the activities of the Intelligence Division of the NYPD, which generally is exempted from the otherwise pervasive CompStat system for police accountability.  The Intelligence Division, under former CIA director of clandestine services David Cohen, focuses on gathering information and penetrating suspect groups rather than on arrests and prosecutions. It aims to disrupt potential plots in their early stages through what amounts to intimidation and by sowing distrust among possible conspirators. (See SECURING THE CITY, especially "The Warehouse: From Sharing to Trading," pp 140-151, and "Clusters: Homegrown Terrorism and National Resources," pp 228-238, which includes a report on congressional testimony by Lawrence H. Sanchez, pp 236-238.) In a strange and revealing remark, Larry Sanchez, another of the CIA veterans in the NYPD Intelligence Division for much of the last decade,  told a Senate committee in 2007: "Part of our mission is to protect New York City citizens from becoming terrorists," in effect disrupting plots before the plotters themselves were sure what they were doing.
          Because there are no spread-sheets of arrests and convictions to present as evidence that extensive terrorist activities have been discovered, deterred and disrupted, the NYPD points to the most fundamental bottom line: no plots have succeeded. And it points to this list of those publicly known attempts to New York that have been thwarted, whether by the police, the feds, good teamwork, bad teamwork, or the incompetence of the terrorists themselves:

    1.     BROOKLYN BRIDGE - Iyman Faris, a U.S.-based, al Qaeda operative, planned to cut the bridge’s support cables but was deterred by the NYPD’s 24-hour coverage of the bridge. Faris sent al Qaeda leaders a coded message that, “the weather is too hot,” a reference to police presence. He was arrested in 2003, pleaded guilty and sentenced to federal prison. [SEE SECURING THE CITY, pp 82 - 96, "The Second Wave: Not the Best-Laid Plans"]

    2.     SUBWAY CYANIDE - A plot to disperse cyanide gas in the subway system was called off at the last minute by Iyman Zawahiri for what he said was “something bigger.” [SECURING THE CITY, p 93]

    3.     NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE; CITIGROUP HEADQUARTERS - Al Qaeda plot to use vehicles to bomb the New York Stock Exchange, Citibank, and other financial institutions. NYPD tactical teams were deployed to high-threat locations, and vehicle inspections were increased in response. Dhiren Barot/Issa al-Hindi, an associate of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, pleaded guilty in 2006. [SECURING THE CITY, 181-182, 192-194, 203-204, 210, 262-263]

    4.     GARMENT DISTRICT PLOT - The NYPD and FBI arrested Uzair Paracha in New York based on intelligence developed overseas.  Paracha is reported to have discussed with top al Qaeda leaders the prospect of smuggling weapons and explosives – possibly even a nuclear device—into Manhattan’s Garment District through his father’s import-export business. [SECURING THE CITY, 90, 95, 154-155, 158]

    5.     HERALD SQUARE SUBWAY STATION - An NYPD undercover officer helped disrupt a 2004 plot to bomb the Herald Square subway station by lone-wolf admirers of Al Qaeda.  Shahawar Matin Siraj and James Elshafay were exposed as conspiring to blow up the 34th Street subway station, including surveilling the subway station, choosing the location for their bombs, and diagramming entrances and exits. SECURING THE CITY, 187-199]

    6.     PATH TRAIN and WTC RETAINING WALL - A multi-agency investigation disrupted a plot to attack NYC’s underground transit link with New Jersey in 2006. Law enforcement monitoring international chat rooms discovered suspects’ plan to destroy a PATH train tunnel and the retaining wall at Ground Zero, to flood the New York Financial District. The main operative was taken into custody in Lebanon and admitted to plotting the attack. [SECURING THE CITY, p 233]

    7.     JFK AIRPORT/BUCKEYE PIPELINE - Al Qaeda sympathizers plotted to bomb the fuel tanks and pipeline at John F. Kennedy Airport, through which jet fuel is transported from New Jersey through Staten Island, Brooklyn, and Queens. Four suspects were arrested in New York and Trinidad in 2007; three were later sentenced to life in prison. [SECURING THE CITY, p 235]

    8.     TRANSATLANTIC PLOT – A British-based plot to destroy seven commercial aircraft over the Atlantic Ocean or fly one or more of them into East Coast targets including New York City results in multiple arrests in London. 

    9.     LONG ISLAND RAILROAD - A plot to bomb a Manhattan-bound LIRR commuter train was discussed at the highest levels of al Qaeda operational leadership. See Bryant Neal Vinas of Long Island.

    10.  BRONX SYNAGOGUES – Disrupted in May 2009, the Riverdale plot targeted two Jewish centers—a synagogue and a Jewish community center—in the Bronx, and Stewart Air Base in Newburgh, NY. The NYPD and FBI arrested four men who were convicted in 2010. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009.]

    11.  NYC SUBWAY; TRANSIT HUBS - In September 2009, Najibullah Zazi and others planned a series of coordinated suicide bombings of NYC subway transit hubs at rush hour. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009, and details in Newsweek article, "Ray Kelly's Wars," 11 June 2012]

    12.  TIMES SQUARE - Faisal Shahzad attempted on May 1, 2010 to detonate a bomb inside an SUV parked in Times Square on a busy Saturday night. [see Newsweek, 53 Hours in the Life of a Near Disaster, and the Shadowland Journal, "Shahzad: The Rube Goldberg of Terrorism."

    13.  MANHATTAN SYNAGOGUE - The NYPD disrupted a plot by two Queens men, Ahmed Ferhani and Mohamed Mamdouh, to bomb a synagogue in Manhattan in May 2011.

    14.  JOSE PIMENTEL  - Muslim convert Jose Pimentel was arrested in November 2011 in Manhattan as he constructed a pipe bomb he intended to use against police and government property. He had followed instructions in an article from Al Qaeda's English-language magazine "Inspire” on “How to Build a Bomb in the Kitchen of Your Mom."


    Tuesday, May 08, 2012

    FRENCH ELECTION COVERAGE FROM NEWSWEEK & THE DAILY BEAST

    First, just for the atmosphere, take a look at these pictures Tracy McNicoll shot at the François Hollande victory celebration in Place de la Bastille that went on from late night May 6 to early morning May 7: http://ruesdeparadis.blogspot.fr/2012/05/tracy-mcnicolls-bastille-photos.html


    The Anti-Sarkozy

    May 7, 2012 2:43 PM EDTHollande will govern as a deliberate response to Sarko’s five exhausting years. By Tracy McNicoll. MORE

    Sarkozy Gets the Boot

    May 6, 2012 2:00 PM EDTHow the Socialist Francois Hollande won—and why his anti-austerity mandate may not hold up. MORE

    Can Sarkozy Pull Off a Win?

    May 4, 2012 1:29 PM EDTHe trails Hollande ahead of Sunday’s vote, but many believe the incumbent can’t lose.... MORE



    France’s Woman in the Wings

    Apr 23, 2012 1:15 PM EDT
    Marine Le Pen is well positioned to emerge even stronger in the 2017 elections. MORE

    Four Ways Sarko Got Screwed

    Apr 22, 2012 9:58 AM EDTThe French president survived Sunday’s vote.... MORE


    Does Sarko Miss DSK?

    Apr 16, 2012 12:00 AM EDTWhy the libertine would have been an ideal opponent. MORE


    The Usual (Islamist) Suspects

    Apr 4, 2012 1:37 PM EDTIn a crackdown after Toulouse, France arrested 10 suspected Islamic radicals. By Christopher Dickey.... MORE


    THE DSK SIDESHOW:

    Friday, May 04, 2012

    JUST HOW "LIBERAL" IS EGYPTIAN PRESIDENTIAL CANDIDATE ABUL FOTOUH?

     The New Republic has published an interesting critique of the way the Western press is covering Egyptian presidential contender Abdul Monem Abul Fotouh, suggesting it is being duped by his supposed "moderation" since he broke with other leaders of the Muslim Brotherhood. In response,  entrepreneur and democratic activist Ahmed Alfi tweeted a PDF of this interesting position statement written by Abul Fotouh back in 2006. It shows AF's views have changed little since then. I am re-posting the document here so those who are interested can have easier access:




    Following is the full text of comments by Abdul Monem Abul Futouh, Member of the
    Guidance Bureau of the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood, on “Islamist Movements andthe Democratic Process in the Arab World: Exploring the Gray Zones,” by Nathan
    Brown, Amr Hamzawy, and Marina Ottaway (Carnegie Paper No. 67, March 2006):


    I read carefully your study of the six areas that continue to puzzle researchers in the West
    with regard to reformist Islamist movements. I would like to commend you for your
    efforts and your exceptional study of reformist Islam, of which the Muslim Brotherhood
    is a strong advocate. To my mind, the term “reformist Islam” represents a more accurate
    description of the activities of Islamist movements than “political Islam.” The latter
    inaccurately limits the movement’s activities to political participation and excludes the
    movement’s engagement in social, educational, cultural, and developmental issues.
    Before I present my view—as a member of the Guidance Bureau—I would like to note
    that we have previously attempted to clarify the issues brought up in this study in several
    forums including the Supreme Guide’s initiative, a study that I published entitled The
    Islamic Understanding of Comprehensive Reform (Al Mafhum al islami li al Islah al
    shamil) and several interviews and articles compiled in a volume entitled Reformers, not
    Spoilers (Mujaddidun la mubaddidun). I hope that these might provide some insight to
    your research and understanding of the concept of reform, be it in relation to current
    affairs or to the ideal condition that human beings should have reached in this era, in
    which they are still confused and suffering in their quest for the happiness, peace, and
    prosperity they deserve.
    It is also important to note that the Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood is an Islamic
    association, not just a religious organization or a conventional political party. There is a
    debate within the movement about the possibility of transformation to a political party
    that carries out the movement’s reform agenda. Another possibility is establishing a
    separate political party, with a clear delineation of responsibilities between party and
    movement. We differentiate clearly between political and religious activities, although
    repressive state practices have often led to conflation of the two, which would not happen
    in a free society.
    A distinction must be made between religion and political life. The affairs of the latter
    should be administered in a modern fashion. Religion involves spirituality and
    cooperation between believers. It is noteworthy that the moral individual, who can
    distinguish between right and wrong and derives his/her judgments from free will,
    constitutes the core of Islam. These values are the cornerstone of Islamic culture, the full
    depth of which cannot be appreciated by those who have not experienced Islam closely.
    In this paper, I will clarify the six issues raised in the study and attempt to remove the
    ambiguity, which seems to exist in researchers’ interpretations rather than in the Muslim
    Brotherhood’s thinking. It appears that most readings of the reformist Islamist project
    begin with initial rejection based on pre-conceived ideas springing from historical and
    cultural details that highlight the need for further discussion between the Muslim
    Brotherhood and outside observers.
    1) Islamic Sharia
    Mercy crowns all Islamic virtues; the holy Quran says “we sent you only as a mercy to
    the world.” Islamic sharia is a translation of this virtue. Islamic tenets assert three values,
    all of which stem from mercy. First is religious worship to discipline the soul; second is
    establishing justice among people without distinction; and third is achieving social
    welfare.
    A religious scholar argues that where welfare exists, sharia exists; that all sharia’s
    commandments are intended to bring welfare to the individual. Religious scholars
    classify the goals of sharia into essentials that preserve the soul, religion, wealth,
    offspring, and others that protect the five core goals and preserve individual dignity as
    ordained by God (who said “and we have honored sons of Adam”). These goals
    encompass all of human life; they shape a Muslim individual who has allegiance to
    humanity, interacts with freedom and dignity with others, and who lives in peace with
    others. A conscious understanding and correct application of these goals is a safety valve
    for society; it protects it against extremism, fundamentalism, and violence.
    Despite the fact that criminal penalties constitute only ten percent of all Islamic law, they
    have drawn the most attention among scholars of Muslim societies, leading some to
    mistakenly equate the sharia with punishments. Penalties stipulated in the sharia serve
    primarily as deterrents. The more powerful the deterrent is, the more effective the law is
    at preserving social stability and rehabilitating criminals. We recall the saying of the
    Prophet, “avert penalties through legal arguments,” encouraging the presentation of any
    evidence that can be used to avert application of the penalties. Some religious scholars
    have argued that judges are allowed to cancel penalties if the suspect repents.
    It is noteworthy that developments achieved by humanity are accounted for in Islamic
    law. In Islam, everything is allowed except what has been definitively prohibited, and
    these prohibitions are known and limited. The important dialogue among Imam
    Muhammad Abduh (one of the founding fathers of Islamic reform), Ernest Renan, and
    Farah Anton may assist in illuminating these gray zones. This dialogue splendidly and
    objectively linked the whole of Islamic civilization with Islamic law and its aims.
    2) The Use of Violence
    In addition to conflicting with our principles and programs, violence is against our
    interests and those of our nations. Our understanding of Islam leads us to trust wholly in
    human nature, and in the ability of Islam to deal creatively with this nature in an
    atmosphere of democratic competition that respects diversity and practices tolerance. I
    believe that discussions about the position of reformist Islamist movements on violence
    have become pointless. The fundamental distinction between resistance to oppression and
    occupation on one hand, and intimidation and bloodshed on the other should be clear to
    all.
    In truth, it is the West that must be cleansed of violence. According to one historian’s
    study, during the past two centuries all of the tragedies and acts of violence visited upon
    mankind have come from the west: the vicious religious wars between the Catholics and
    the Orthodox and between both of them and the Protestants; and the Hundred Years War
    (1337-1453 CE) between England and France. Then from the West came the idea of
    colonialism, which produced capitalism, and then communism as an opposing ideology.
    They were followed by fascism and Nazism, ideologies of superiority and racism. Nor
    does human memory forget the two world wars, the vilest in human history. The Middle
    East now is a clear example of Western violence. Even today we hear the voices of
    religious fundamentalism, a political dogma believed in and cultivated by the kings and
    presidents of the West. It is our hope that the West will, in word and deed, have greater
    respect for tolerance, and perhaps produce a leader like the German Emperor Frederick II
    (1212-1250 CE), considered a model in his concern for cultural interconnectedness and
    for the true application of great human values such as tolerance.
    3) Political Pluralism
    To accept diversity among human beings is to accept the right to disagree. Diversity in
    ideas and methods is both natural and logical. Islam considers this diversity and
    difference of opinion a positive trait that enriches human understanding and gives it
    breadth and depth. In politics, leftist parties put forth ideas on social justice that are
    worthwhile considering while liberals offers compelling views on freedom. Societies are
    broad enough to encompass all of these ideas so long as they do not conflict with the
    highest values anchored in the constitution.
    The right of like-minded individuals to meet and assemble freely has become a necessity
    in our times, in which the modern state has grown dominant due to tremendous
    technological advances. The individual in opposition is extremely weak when he resists
    or differs with the state. Within parties, associations, or other groupings, however, it
    becomes possible to confront the state. Freedom of association enables those who stand
    in the opposition to exert pressure on the authorities and helps create a balanced political
    life. Also necessary is freedom of the media, in all their wide-ranging, modern means,
    which provide to opinion makers important tools for expressing their views.
    4) Civil and Political Rights
    Democracy remains the most effective means available for achieving human rights.
    Reformist Islamist movements understand democracy as coexistence among all elements
    of society, peaceful and constitutional alternation of power, the rule of law, and the
    protection of individual rights and freedoms. Freedom itself is a central Islamic value. It
    is even more important when the issue is connected to political freedom and freedom of
    opinion, because among the key principles of Islam is freedom of choice.
    5) Women’s Rights
    Islam affirms the rights of women to administer family matters along with men, through
    compromise and consultation. The holy Quran mentions that women in public life have
    equal rights of participation in guiding society and in the policies of the state. They have
    the right to hold any position. As political institutions develop and governance improves,
    it will be wholly legitimate for a woman to assume the presidency, just as a man would
    do.
    It is worth mentioning that the issue of women’s rights is by no means confined to
    Muslim societies. Women in France did not win the right to vote until 1945, after
    showing courage and strength in resisting the German occupation! In my opinion, the
    problem lies in a long human heritage in which women were devalued and considered
    deficient beings! Greek civilization asserted this faulty concept when Aristotle said that
    he praised God for making him a man, a Greek, and a philosopher.
    Reformist Islam assigns a large role to women in the national awakening. Women are
    half of society and they raise the other half. Women are doctors, teachers, and engineers;
    they produce and work according to what they choose to do and can do. The veiling of
    women in Islam accords with modesty and morality; the veil does not cover a woman’s
    mind, personality, or humanity. Perhaps it is the Western view of the woman that is in
    need of correction and improvement. It has reached the point where all limits have been
    exceeded in the degradation of women in fashion, cosmetics, and sex. This is
    incompatible with human and religious values, and detracts from women as mothers,
    sisters, and wives—half of this world.
    6) Religious Minorities
    Freedom of worship is the most basic of all human rights, governed by the Islamic
    principle that “there is no compulsion in religion.” Reformist Islamist movements
    consider the citizen the foundation of society, regardless of religion or color. Belief in a
    religion or doctrine is through acceptance of the soul, and it is logically impossible for
    this to occur through compulsion; therefore, in Islam, religious belief flows from
    complete freedom free from any pressure or incentives. The holy Quran says “Will you
    compel people against their will to believe?”
    It is important to stress that Muslims cannot practice their beliefs except by protecting the
    non-Muslims among them and preserving their right to difference in religion. In
    reformist Islam the citizen is considered the foundation of society, regardless of his
    religion or color. Justice for all people is an Islamic value, as the Quran says “God
    commands justice.” The foundation on which the treatment of non-Muslims is built is
    that the individual is for society and society for the individual, with all that this entails in
    terms of cooperation, mutual understanding, love, and respect. We praise God that our
    society has never experienced the likes of what happened to Rosa Parks in Montgomery,
    Alabama in 1955, when she refused to give up her seat on the bus to an American who
    was just like her, only white, as the law at that time stipulated that the seats at the front of
    the bus were for white citizens, not black.
    The jizya (tax on non-Muslims) and dhimma (protected non-Muslims) are historical
    terms only, which have been replaced by the concept of citizenship-based democracy in a
    nation of justice and law. This is the model that reformist Islam, with the Muslim
    Brotherhood at the forefront, strives to envision and to build.

    Dr. Abdul Monem Abul Futouh
    Member, Guidance Bureau
    The Muslim Brotherhood
    Translated from Arabic by Kevin Burnham and Dina Bishara.

    Thursday, May 03, 2012

    Reading Osama Bin Laden's Mail


    Following is the summary of the so-called "Bin Laden" documents just released by the Combating Terrorism Center at West Point. The original documents and English translations can be downloaded as PDFs form the CTC site here

    Some analysts suggest the documents are being released now to sow discord among Al Qaeda affiliates. The CTC's own headline is "Letters from Abottabad: Bin Laden Sidelined?"

    Perhaps. But as it happens several of the key figures replacing OBL are now dead, too, so their ambitions and rivalries would seem to be a moot point.

    Some, like Anwar al-Awlaki, became jihadi idols, briefly, before the Obama administration blew them up. Others, like the leaders of Al-Shabab in Somalia, seem never to have been able to win OBL's respect. But one of the most interesting and important, Atiyya, preferred to keep a very low profile until a drone strike reportedly took him out in August last year. Will McCants wrote a very useful portrait of Atiyya and his importance on the Foreign Affairs site soon afterwards. It can be found here.



    Description of the Abbottabad Documents Provided to the CTC

    This document provides a general description of the 17 declassified documents captured in the Abbottabad raid and released to the Combating Terrorism Center (CTC).  For additional context please see the documents themselves and/or the CTC’s report “Letters from Abbottabad: Bin Ladin Sidelined?” released in conjunction with this summary. 

    The 17 documents consist of electronic letters or draft letters, totaling 175 pages in the original Arabic and 197 pages in the English translation. The earliest letter is dated September 2006 and the latest April 2011. These internal al-Qa`ida communications were authored by several  leaders, including Usama bin Ladin, `Atiyya `Abd al-Rahman, Abu Yahya al-Libi and the American Adam Gadahn, as well as several unknown individuals who were either affiliated with the group or wrote to offer it advice. Other recognizable personalities who feature in the letters either as authors, recipients or points of conversation include Mukhtar Abu al-Zubayr, leader of the Somali militant group Harakat al-Shabab al-Mujahidin; Nasir al-Wuhayshi (Abu Basir), leader of the Yemen-based al-Qa`ida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP); Anwar al-`Awlaqi; and Hakimullah Mahsud, leader of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP). Some of the letters are incomplete and/or are missing their dates, and not all of the letters explicitly attribute their author(s) and/or indicate to whom they are addressed. Given that they are all electronic documents either saved on thumb drives, memory cards or the hard drive of Bin Ladin’s computer, except for the letters addressed to Bin Ladin, it cannot be ascertained whether any of these letters actually reached their intended destinations. 

    SOCOM-2012-0000003
    This letter was authored by Usama bin Ladin and addressed to Shaykh Mahmud (`Atiyya Abdul Rahman) on 27 August 2010. Mahmud is specifically directed to tell “Basir,” who is Nasir al-Wuhayshi (Abu Basir), the leader of al-Qa`ida in the Arabian Peninsula, to remain in his role (presumably in response to a request from Abu Basir that Anwar al-`Awlaqi take his position), and for him to send “us a detailed and lengthy” version of al-`Awlaqi’s resume. `Atiyya is also told to ask Basir and Anwar al-`Awlaqi for their “vision in detail about the situation” in Yemen. References are also made in the letter to the 2010 floods in Pakistan, a letter from Bin Ladin’s son Khalid to `Abd al-Latif, al-Qa`ida’s media plan for the 9/11 anniversary, and the need for the “brothers coming from Iran” to be placed in safe locations.    


    This document is a letter authored by the American al-Qa`ida spokesman Adam Gadahn to an unknown recipient and was written in late January 2011. In the first part of the document Gadahn provides strategic advice regarding al-Qa`ida’s media plans for the tenth anniversary of 9/11. The letter is in essence a response to many of the requests/queries that Bin Ladin makes in his letter to `Atiyya dated October 2010 (SOCOM-2012-0000015), particularly those concerning a media strategy for the ten-year anniversary of 9/11. In other parts of the document Gadahn incisively criticizes the tactics and targeting calculus of the Islamic State of Iraq (AQI/ISI) and the Pakistani Taliban (TTP); he strongly advocates for  al-Qa`ida to publicly dissociate itself from both groups. The document concludes with a draft statement, which provides a candid assessment of these issues.

    SOCOM-2012-0000005
    This document is a letter dated 7 August 2010 from “Zamarai” (Usama bin Ladin) to Mukhtar Abu al-Zubayr, the leader of the Somali militant group Harakat al-Shabab al-Mujahidin, which merged with al-Qa`ida after Bin Ladin’s death. The document is a response to a letter Bin Ladin received from al-Zubayr in which he requested formal unity with al-Qa`ida and either consulted Bin Ladin on the question of declaring an Islamic state in Somalia or informed him that he was about to declare one. In Bin Ladin’s response, he politely declines al-Shabab’s request for formal unity with al-Qa`ida.

    SOCOM-2012-0000006
    This document is a letter believed to have been composed in December 2010 and its content relates to SOCOM-2012-0000005.  The letter is addressed to Azmarai, perhaps a typo or misspelling of the nickname Zamarai (a nickname or kunya for Bin Ladin).   While the identity of the author is unclear, the familiar tone and implicit critique of Bin Ladin’s policy vis-a-vis al-Shabab suggest that this is from a high ranking personality, possibly Ayman al-Zawahiri. Referring to “our friend’s letter” and the perspective of the “brothers…[who might have been] too concerned about inflating the size and growth of al-Qa`ida,” the author of the document urges the receiver to “reconsider your opinion not to declare the accession [i.e. formal merger] of the brothers of Somalia…” This is clearly a reference to al-Qa`ida’s potential merger with al-Shabab and suggests that al-Qa`ida’s relationship with the “affiliates” is a subject of internal debate. If indeed the author of the letter is Ayman al-Zawahiri this could be an indication of a major fissure over a key strategic question at the pinnacle of the organization (for different interpretations of this letter, see Appendix of “Letters from Abbottabad”).

    SOCOM-2012-0000007
    This letter is authored by Mahmud al-Hasan (`Atiyya) and Abu Yahya al-Libi and addressed to the amir of Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), Hakimullah Mahsud. It is dated 3 December 2010 and is sharply critical of the ideology and tactics of the TTP.  The letter makes it clear that al-Qa`ida’s senior leaders had serious concerns about the TTP’s trajectory inside Pakistan, and the impact the group’s misguided operations might have on al-Qa`ida and other militant groups in the region. The authors identify several errors committed by the group, specifically Hakimullah Mahsud’s arrogation of privileges and positions beyond what was appropriate as the TTP’s amir; the TTP’s use of indiscriminate violence and killing of Muslim civilians; and the group’s use of kidnapping. `Atiyya and al-Libi also take issue with Mahsud labeling al-Qa`ida members as “guests” and the attempts made by other groups (presumably the TTP) to siphon off al-Qa`ida members. The authors threaten that if actions are not taken to correct these mistakes, “we shall be forced to take public and firm legal steps from our side.”             

    SOCOM-2012-0000008
    This letter was originally an exchange between Jaysh al-Islam and `Atiyya that was forwarded first to a certain `Abd al-Hamid (and presumably to Bin Ladin later). The gist of Jaysh al-Islam’s letter makes it known that the group is in need of financial assistance “to support jihad,” and that the group is seeking `Atiyya’s legal advice on three matters: 1) the permissibility of accepting financial assistance from other militant Palestinian groups (e.g., Fatah and Palestinian Islamic Jihad); 2)  the permissibility of  investing funds in the stock market in support of jihad;  and 3)  the permissibility of striking or killing drug traffickers in order to use their money, and even drugs, to lure their enemies who could in turn be used by Jaysh al-Islam as double-agents. `Atiyya’s response, written sometime between 24 October 2006 and 22 November 2006, is cordial but distant, responding to the questions but refraining from giving any strategic advice.        

    SOCOM-2012-0000009
    This document is part of a longer letter which was not released to the CTC. It is not clear who authored the letter or to whom it was addressed. It discusses the potential need to change the name of “Qa`idat al-Jihad.” The author is of the view that the abridging of the name “al-Qa`ida” has “lessened Muslims’ feelings that we belong to them.” The author is further concerned that since the name “al-Qa`ida” lacks religious connotations, it has allowed the United States to launch a war on “al-Qa`ida” without offending Muslims. The author proposed a list of new names that capture Islamic theological themes: Ta’ifat al-tawhid wa-al-jihad (Monotheism and Jihad Group), Jama`at wahdat al-Muslimin (Muslim Unity Group), Hizb tawhid al-Umma al-Islamiyya (Islamic Nation Unification Party) and Jama`at tahrir al-aqsa (Al-Aqsa Liberation Group).             

    SOCOM-2012-0000010
    This letter is authored by “Abu `Abdallah” (Usama bin Ladin), addressed to “Shaykh Mahmud” (`Atiyya) and dated 26 April 2011 – a week before bin Ladin’s death. In it, Bin Ladin outlines his response to the “Arab Spring,” proposing two different strategies. The first strategy pertains to the Arab World and entails “inciting people who have not yet revolted and exhort[ing] them to rebel against the rulers (khuruj ‘ala al-hukkam)”; the second strategy concerns Afghanistan and it entails continuing to evoke the obligation of jihad there. The letter also makes reference to a wide variety of topics including: the scarcity of communications from Iraq, “the brothers coming from Iran,” and hostages held by “our brothers in the Islamic Maghreb” and in Somalia. The document also briefly discusses Bin Ladin’s sons, his courier, Shaykh Abu Muhammad (Ayman al-Zawahiri), and other individuals of interest.                      

    SOCOM-2012-0000011
    This letter, dated 28 March 2007, is addressed to a legal scholar by the name of Hafiz Sultan, and it is authored by someone who is of Egyptian origin. The author makes it explicit that he was alarmed by al-Qa`ida in Iraq’s conduct and he urges Sultan to write to that group’s leaders to correct their ways. The author also asks for legal guidance on the use of chlorine gas, which he appears not to support. A reference is also made to “the brothers in Lebanon” and the need to arrange “to have one of their representatives visit us in the near future.” A message from the “brothers in Algeria” is also included.

    SOCOM-2012-0000012
    This letter dated 11 June 2009 was written by `Atiyya to the “honorable shaykh.” It is possible that it was addressed to Usama bin Ladin, but it may have been addressed to another senior leader. The majority of the letter provides details on the release of detained jihadi “brothers” and their families from Iran and an indication that more are expected to be released, including Bin Ladin’s family. It seems that their release was partially in response to covert operations by al-Qa`ida against Iran and its interests. 

    SOCOM-2012-0000013
    This is a draft that formed the basis of a publicly available document, part four in a series of statements that Ayman al-Zawahiri released in response to the “Arab Spring.” Through the document one can observe al-Qa`ida’s editing process (reflected in the editor’s comments highlighted in green and in a bold font). While it is not clear if Bin Ladin himself did the editing, whoever did so has solid grammatical foundations and prefers a more self-effacing writing style than al-Zawahiri. The edits were not included in al-Zawahiri’s final speech which was released in a video on 4 March 2011 on jihadi forums. Of the 12 proposed corrections only one appears in al-Zawahiri’s speech.

    SOCOM-2012-0000014
    This document consists of two letters addressed to “Abu `Abd-al-Rahman,” almost certainly `Atiyya `Abd al-Rahman. It was sent by an operative who knows `Atiyya and is a religious student with ties to the senior shaykhs and clerics in Saudi Arabia. While the letters are not dated, their contents suggest they were composed soon after January 2007; they read very much like an intelligence assessment, designed to provide `Atiyya with some perspective on how al-Qa`ida generally, and the Islamic State of Iraq (ISI) more specifically, are perceived amongst Saudi scholars of varying degrees of prominence. The author provides `Atiyya with brief summaries of private meetings the author had with certain scholars, with the clear intent of evaluating the level of support that al-Qa`ida enjoys from some relatively prominent members of the Saudi religious establishment.

    This document is a letter dated 21 October 2010 from Bin Ladin to “Shaykh Mahmud” (`Atiyya). The letter is primarily focused on issues in the Afghanistan/Pakistan region. In the letter Bin Ladin specifically comments on: the security situation in Waziristan and the need to relocate al-Qa`ida members from the region; counter surveillance issues associated with the movement of his son Hamza within Pakistan; the appointment of `Atiyya’s three deputies; various al-Sahab videos and the media plan for the tenth anniversary of 9/11; the release of an Afghan prisoner held by al-Qa`ida; and the trial of Faisal Shahzad. Ayman al-Zawahiri, Abu Yahya al-Libi, Saif al-`Adl, and Adam Gadahn are also mentioned in the document.         


    This document is a letter addressed to “Abu Basir” (Nasir al-Wuhayshi, leader of al-Qa`ida in the Arabian Peninsula - AQAP) from an unidentified author, most likely Usama bin Ladin and/or `Atiyya. The letter is in part a response to specific requests for guidance from AQAP’s leadership. The author specifically advises AQAP to focus on targeting the United States, not the Yemeni government or security forces. The author also discusses media strategy and the importance of AQAP’s relations with Yemen’s tribes.          


    SOCOM-2012-0000017
    This document is a series of paragraphs, some of which match the content found in SOCOM-2012-0000016. This document was likely written by the author of that document. This letter discusses strategy, the need for al-Qa`ida to remain focused on targeting the United States (or even against U.S. targets in South Africa where other “brothers” are not active), the importance of tribal relations in a variety of different countries, and media activity. 
        
    SOCOM-2012-0000018
    This document is a letter addressed to Usama bin Ladin from “a loving brother whom you know and who knows you” and dated 14 September 2006. The author is critical of Bin Ladin for focusing al- Qa`ida’s operations on “Islamic countries in general and the Arabian Peninsula in particular.” He enumerates the numerous negative consequences of engaging in jihad inside Saudi Arabia, and informs Bin Ladin that people are now repulsed by the technical term “jihad” and even forbidden to use it in lectures. The author strongly advised Bin Ladin to change his policies.

    SOCOM-2012-0000019
    This document is a long letter authored by Usama bin Ladin after the death of Sheikh Sa‘id (Mustafa Abu’l-Yazid) in late May 2010 and it is addressed to “Shaykh Mahmud” (`Atiyya) who he designates as Sa‘id’s successor.  Bin Ladin’s letter is concerned with the mistakes committed by regional jihadi groups, which have resulted in the unnecessary deaths of thousands of Muslim civilians. Bin Ladin indicates that he would like to start a “new phase” so that the jihadis could regain the trust of Muslims. He directs `Atiyya to prepare a memorandum to centralize, in the hands of AQC, the media campaign and operations of regional jihadi groups. Considerable space is devoted to a discussion about Yemen, external operations and Bin Ladin’s plans for his son Hamza. This document includes an additional letter that Bin Ladin forwards to `Atiyya authored by Shaykh Yunis, presumably Yunis al-Mauritani, consisting of a new operational plan that al- Qa`ida should consider adopting.

    THE "TRUTH" BEHIND THE OFFICIAL STORY OF FINDING BIN LADEN?

    Gareth Porter has a very interesting and largely persuasive piece on TruthOut arguing that by the time the Americans caught up to Bin Laden (with help from Pakistani intelligence) he had no operational role in Al Qaeda and in fact had been forced into exile by his underlings:
    http://truth-out.org/news/item/8866-finding-bin-laden-the-truth-behind-the-official-story


    But Porter is misleading when he gives the impression the mainstream media fell hook, line and sinker for administration hype about Bin Laden's supposedly active role in Al Qaeda at the time he died. This was what I wrote in a  column looking at the nature of the continuing threat days after Bin Laden was deep-sixed:

          Unfortunately, those who follow the terrorist threat most closely don’t think bin Laden’s death will have reduced it much, if at all. “It’s good that we got him,” a senior law enforcement official told me the morning the news broke. “Until we did this, we appeared weak and anemic. But when it comes to terrorism, I don’t think it makes a difference whether he’s alive or not. He wasn’t responsible for Marrakesh. He wasn’t responsible for the guys picked up in Germany on Friday,” the official said, referring to the bombing at a favorite tourist destination in Morocco that killed 16 people last week and the arrest of three men in Germany for allegedly plotting to bomb targets there.

         Whatever plans bin Laden laid in his Pakistani bedroom, so many al Qaeda sub-groups have sprung up with vicious and ambitious leaders out to prove that they can kill Westerners, too, that the man to whom many supposedly pledged allegiance in fact exercised little or no control over them. The wannabe bin Ladens have already shown they’ll take any shot they can get. They’ve even claimed credit for close calls that failed. As Robert Fisk wrote earlier this week in The Independent, the al Qaeda “movement has no ‘leadership’ as such, bin Laden being the founder rather than the boss.” In the end, he had become no more nor less than a symbol himself.

        “Those inspired by bin Laden,” says the senior law enforcement official, “don’t see a difference between where he is now”—a corpse reportedly buried at sea—“and where he was a few days ago” hidden away from the world in Pakistan.

    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2011/05/06/al-qaeda-terror-threat-to-new-york-city-and-us-trains-remains-high.html