Friday, September 14, 2012

Check out "A Petty Criminal Sparks a Meltdown" about the sources of Muslim protest; A controversial NPR appearance; MSNBC Video-A World of Trouble, etc.

THE DAILY BEAST
by Christopher Dickey September 14, 2012 03:20 AM EDT
Meth-cooker Nakoula Bassely Nakoula's low-budget movie denigrating the Prophet Muhammad has led to anti-American protests in the Middle East and a manhunt in Libya, but the unrest is fueled as much by politics in each country as by religious fury.

NPR'S "ON POINT"
An hour-long discussion about events in Libya and the Arab world. I note the principle that shouting fire in a crowded theater is not protected by free speech and raise the question of how to deal with those who shout fire in a crowded world. This provoked some lively reaction, including hundreds of comments on the "On Point" site.

VIDEO
September 12, 2012 04:21 PM EDT
As the attacks in Egypt and Libya confront Americans with a roiling Middle East, Paris bureau chief and Middle East editor Christopher Dickey joins MSNBC Live host Thomas Roberts...

THE DAILY BEAST
by Christopher Dickey September 12, 2012 10:32 AM EDT
Amb. Chris Stevens was killed by an act of senseless violence—and now Obama has an impossible task ahead. By Christopher Dickey.

Sunday, September 02, 2012

The Role of the Press: The Best It's Ever Been Defined

In 1852, when the Times of London was accused of trying to usurp the powers of statesmen without assuming their responsibilities, it ran a series of editorials spelling out its position: "The Press lives by disclosures; whatever passes into its keeping becomes a part of the knowledge and the history of our times; it is daily and for ever appealing to the enlightened force of public opinion--anticipating, if possible, the march of events--standing upon the breach between the present and the future, and extending its survey to the horizon of the world." It was the newspaper's purpose to seek out "the earliest and most correct intelligence of the events of the time, and instantly, by disclosing them, to make them the common property of the nation." It was the journalist's job "to investigate truth and to apply it on fixed principles to the affairs of the world."
-- As cited by Alan Hankinson in "Man of Wars: William Howard Russell of The Times"

Saturday, September 01, 2012

Check out UnSafe Havens in Syria, a quake in the Philippines, flashbacks to Kurdistan '91 and Lady Di '97

Daily Beast Column: Syria Safe Haven? Bad Idea, 1 September 2012
Christopher Dickey on the strategy's disappointing and dangerous record.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/09/01/a-safe-haven-inside-syria-bad-idea.html

Flashback - Newsweek: A Nation In The Valley Of The Three Frontiers, issue date 5 May 1991

Fred Cuny and others creating a safe haven for Kurds in Iraq
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/1991/05/05/a-nation-in-the-valley-of-the-three-frontiers.html

Daily Beast News Item: Earthquake Shakes the Philippines, 31 August 2012
Most tsunami warnings were canceled, but the damage's extent isn't clear, says Christopher Dickey.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/31/earthquake-shakes-the-philippines.html

Flashback - Newsweek: Time to Brace for the Next 9/11, 4 September 2011
The biggest threat to America isn't terrorism. It's the wrath of Mother Nature.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/09/04/time-to-brace-for-the-next-9-11.html

Flashback - Newsweek: Horror in the Night, issue date 7 September 1997 (published 1 September 1997)
The death of Princess Diana reported from the scene
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/1997/09/07/horror-in-the-night.html



Check out my latest brief sketch: U.N. Syria Envoy Lakhdar Brahimi’s Tough Assignment

Newsweek: U.N. Syria Envoy Lakhdar Brahimi's Tough Assignment, 26 August 2012
A brief sketch of a thankless job and the man who felt duty bound to take it.
http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/08/26/u-n-syria-envoy-lakhdar-brahimi-s-tough-assignment.html

Saturday, August 18, 2012

Check out "The Savage Wars of Peace" and my other recent articles on Syria, France, and Iran

  • The Savage Wars of Peace

     August 16, 2012 04:15 AM EDT
    Christopher Dickey on why calls for military intervention in Syria should be resisted.
  • Nights of Rage in France

     August 14, 2012 12:24 PM EDT
    Christopher Dickey on whether the French riots will spread.
  • Syria: There Goes the Neighborhood

     August 10, 2012 04:45 AM EDT
    Christopher Dickey on the threat of the Syrian war to neighboring states.
  • How Iran Is Losing The Shadow War

     August 07, 2012 01:22 PM EDT
    In Syria and around the world, Iran’s covert operatives are in trouble.
  • Wednesday, August 08, 2012

    Check out "Iran's Spies Losing the Shadow War" and background on alleged Iran/HB plots this year from NYPD

    Daily Beast Column: How Iran's Spies Are Losing the Shadow War With U.S. and Israel, 7 August 2012
    In Syria and around the world, Iran's covert operatives are in trouble.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/08/07/how-iran-s-spies-are-losing-the-shadow-war-with-us-and-israel.html
    (The vitriolic comments on this one are a little hard to follow, I confess.)

    Shadowland Journal: NYPD: Suspected Iranian and/or Hezbollah-linked Plots against Israeli or Jewish Targets: 2012 Chronology. Date 18 July 2012
    http://christopherdickey.blogspot.fr/2012/08/nypd-suspected-iranian-andor-hezbollah.html

    Check out "Our Man in Syria?"; "New York's New Tech Hub"; and a crazy debate about Romney in Israel

    Newsweek: Manaf Tlass—Our Man in Syria? 6 August 2012
    by Christopher Dickey and Mike Giglio
    Who is Manaf Tlass and why do western and regional powers pin their hopes on him?
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/08/05/manaf-tlass-our-man-in-syria.html
    (This is from Newsweek International. A shorter version ran in the US Newsweek)

    Newsweek: New York's New Tech Hub, 30 July 2012
    Will New York's latest dream spawn the next Mark Zuckerberg?
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/29/roosevelt-island-new-york-s-new-tech-hub.html
    (The unique partnership among NY's City Hall, Cornell University and Technion-Israel Institute of Technology.)

    Video on France24 Debate: Romney stirs controversy on bumpy foreign trip, 1 August 2012
    Gaffe-prone, wannabe or savvy statesman, Western media has slammed Mitt Romney's tour of American allies, but US opinion polls tell a different story. Laura Baines and her panel discuss the Republican candidate's choice of destinations and what they mean.
    http://www.france24.com/en/20120801-2012-08-01-0010-debate-obama-romney-foreign-policy-lobby-presidential-election
    (Warning: Some of this debate with a Republican spokesman and an Israeli analyst verges on the surreal.)

    NYPD: Suspected Iranian and/or Hezbollah-linked Plots against Israeli or Jewish Targets: 2012 Chronology. Date 18 July 2012


    Monday, July 16, 2012

    Check out The Next Wonder of the World by Rem Koolhaas; An Arab Spring Success Story (maybe); plus audio on the BBC and video on France 24

    Newsweek Magazine: Architect Rem Koolhaas and the Next World Wonder, 16 July 2012
    When the Olympics hits the airwaves, Beijing will be broadcasting them from this new $900 million architectural masterpiece.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/15/architect-rem-koolhaas-and-the-next-world-wonder.html


    Newsweek International: Will Libya be an Arab Spring Success Story?, 16 July 2012
    Jul 16, 2012 1:00 AM EDT
    Libya has new leadership—and oil. Now it just needs to unify.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/15/will-libya-be-an-arab-spring-success-story.html


    Audio: BBC World Service Radio: The World Today Weekend: 14 July 2012 (0700 GMT)
    Paul Henley is joined by Caroline Daniel of the FT and Christopher Dickey of Newsweek
    bbc.in/MsxE8A

    Video: France 24: The World This Week - 13 July 2012
    The UK tabloid press sizes up France's new president and focuses on his height (1m70) but the joke could be on François Hollande's hosts: when the French leader warns of a multi-speed Europe, does it mean an eventual divorce between Britain and Europe?
    f24.my/ODfEsC


    Check out Newsweek International: Sky Cities: Imagining the Airport of the Future as Destination, 9 July 2012

    Newsweek International: Sky Cities: Imagining the Airport of the Future as Destination, 9 July 2012
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/07/08/sky-cities-imagining-the-airport-of-the-future-as-destination.html

    (This is the first of three travel and design pieces I'll be writing this month, along with the usual coverage of politics, conflict, pestilence...)


    Sunday, July 15, 2012

    French soldiers and their missions

    French cavalryman on the Champs Elysées yesterday morning before the Bastille Day Parade in Paris, France. The medals give an idea how much expeditionary work a young French soldier is likely to see: Tchad (Chad), Liban (Lebanon), Arme Blindée (Armor) and Missions d’Assistance Extérieure (Foreign Assistance Mission), Operations Exterieures (Foreign Operations), Ex.Yougoslavie (Ex-Yugoslavia), Tchad / RCA (Chad / CAR [Central African Republic]). And it seems his unit is not one of those that has served in Afghanistan.

    For more in this series visit Rues de Paradis.

    Friday, June 29, 2012

    A Refugee App for iPhone and Android


    This is a disturbing new app for Android and iPhone. It’s a comic book version of life as a refugee, sanitized and horrifying at the same time, that asks you to make one terrible choice after another. It appears to have grown out of the UNHCR’s live-action simulation of refugee life at Davos and elsewhere (see my article and video, The Street Theater from Hell). The app is free. Refugees are not.

    Tuesday, June 26, 2012

    Check out "Game of Thrones in Saudi Arabia" and audio web discussion of French politics today, plus relevant reruns

    Newsweek International: A Game of Thrones in Saudi Arabian Succession Plans, 25 June 2012
    Succession plans in Saudi Arabia give stability, for now.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/24/a-game-of-thrones-in-saudi-arabian-succession-plans.html

    Audio: French-American Foundation Webinar: France's shift to the left and the prospects for change, 21 June 2012
    The French-American Foundation welcomed Christopher Dickey, Paris Bureau Chief of Newsweek magazine, for a webinar to discuss the new balance of political power and how the new French government promises to change the political life and policies of France and Europe. Mr. Dickey explored a number of topics, including the economy, France's international policy, and social issues.
    http://frenchamerican.org/events/webinar-le-changement-et-maintenant-frances-shift-left-and-prospects-change-christopher

    And, in case you missed them earlier:

    Video: France 24 The World This Week, 22 June 2012
    Talking Egypt, Syria, Euro, Marijuana in Uruguay (in 2 parts)  http://t.co/RlhT70MI

    A Daily Beast Column with Video: The Forgotten Lives of Refugees, 19 June 2012
    Christopher Dickey talks to António Guterres, the United Nations' high commissioner for refugees, about the world's desperate, dispirited, and displaced.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/19/the-forgotten-lives-of-refugees.html

    And some relevant reruns:

    On immigration in Arizona:

    SCOTUS UPHOLDS THE MOST DANGEROUS PART OF ARIZONA LAW: SEE MY "Immigrants Actually Reduce Crime" (2010) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2010/05/27/reading-ranting-and-arithmetic.html

    On MI5's dire predictions about the Arab Spring:

    IT'S NOT JUST MI5 http://bit.ly/LYWaTb : WHY WESTERN SPOOKS HATE THE ARAB SPRING (PUBLISHED IN JUNE 2011) http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2011/06/12/how-the-arab-spring-has-weakened-u-s-intelligence.html via @newsweek

    Tuesday, June 12, 2012

    Check out "Ray Kelly's Wars," video panel on Syria and Egypt, the Diamond Jubilee as doomsday, and more

    Newsweek: Ray Kelly's NYPD Battles with the FBI, 11 June 2011
    The New YorkCity Police Commissioner is beating the enemy—if only the feds don't get in his way.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/06/10/ray-kelly-s-nypd-battles-with-the-fbi.html

    Video: France 24: The World This Week, 8 June 2011
    In Syria, reports of a massacre near Hama: at least 55 people including women and children were shot or stabbed to death by government militias who then proceeded to burn their bodies. Is this a turning point in the Syrian crisis?
    http://www.france24.com/en/20120608-the-world-this-week-june8

    A Daily Beast column: After the Queen's Jubilee, a Sobering Summer, 8 June 2011
    The collapse of Greece. Elections in Cairo. Venus in transit. While Britain partied, the rest of the world continued to fall apart. Why the worst is yet to come.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/06/08/after-the-queen-s-jubilee-a-sobering-summer.html

    Newsweek International: Quants, Derivatives, and the Myth of the Rogue Trader, 21 May 2011
    Their teacher tried to tell them they were headed for trouble, but high on risk and volatility, the Quants of France didn't listen.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/20/quants-derivatives-and-the-myth-of-the-rogue-trader.html

    Newsweek: Ibrahim al-Asiri: The Body Bomb Menace, 14 May 2011, with Dan Klaidman
    A secret report obtained by Newsweek lays out the diabolical plans of al Qaeda's bomb guru: evading airport scanners by surgically implanting explosives in a terrorist's love handles.
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/newsweek/2012/05/13/al-qaeda-s-body-bombs-al-asiri-s-next-threat.html

    Europe: Still Crazy After All These Years, and Christopher Dickey cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart

    The Daily Beast: Obama: Pay Attention to Europe, 8 May 2012
    As this weekend's elections showed, mainstream parties are losing ground to extreme politicians. (Includes a video: Flowers on the Walls of Paris: Memories of War and Questions about European Unity)
    http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/05/08/obama-pay-attention-to-europe.html

    Christopher Dickey's cameo on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart:
    http://gawker.com/5908440/jon-stewart-has-some-questions-for-france



    The 14 Foiled Terror Plots Against New York City Since 9/11

    Below is the list of 14 terrorist plots that have either been foiled or failed "on Ray Kelly's watch" at the New York City Police Department. Many were stopped as a result of cooperation with the U.S. government agencies that the cops sometimes call "the three-letter guys": the FBI, the CIA, and the NSA among them. Sometimes only one, or none, of those other agencies was involved. In the Pimentel case, the FBI dropped out. And several plots were thwarted because of close U.S. cooperation with foreign, especially British, intelligence services. (The NYPD also maintains its own liaisons with British, French and other intelligence operations.) One plot, the Faisal Shahzad attempt to blow up a car in Times Square, failed partly because it has gotten a lot harder to buy bomb making materials in the United States without setting off alarms. Shahzad planned meticulously, and was well trained in Pakistan, but he worried more about the alarms than the effectiveness of the explosives, and they fizzled. Luck played a big role saving New York from that attack.
           Except in the Brooklyn Bridge case, it is hard to say with any precision how much the massive and unpredictable deployments of police around the city actually serve to deter terrorist activities. And there are no detailed matrices for judging the activities of the Intelligence Division of the NYPD, which generally is exempted from the otherwise pervasive CompStat system for police accountability.  The Intelligence Division, under former CIA director of clandestine services David Cohen, focuses on gathering information and penetrating suspect groups rather than on arrests and prosecutions. It aims to disrupt potential plots in their early stages through what amounts to intimidation and by sowing distrust among possible conspirators. (See SECURING THE CITY, especially "The Warehouse: From Sharing to Trading," pp 140-151, and "Clusters: Homegrown Terrorism and National Resources," pp 228-238, which includes a report on congressional testimony by Lawrence H. Sanchez, pp 236-238.) In a strange and revealing remark, Larry Sanchez, another of the CIA veterans in the NYPD Intelligence Division for much of the last decade,  told a Senate committee in 2007: "Part of our mission is to protect New York City citizens from becoming terrorists," in effect disrupting plots before the plotters themselves were sure what they were doing.
          Because there are no spread-sheets of arrests and convictions to present as evidence that extensive terrorist activities have been discovered, deterred and disrupted, the NYPD points to the most fundamental bottom line: no plots have succeeded. And it points to this list of those publicly known attempts to New York that have been thwarted, whether by the police, the feds, good teamwork, bad teamwork, or the incompetence of the terrorists themselves:

    1.     BROOKLYN BRIDGE - Iyman Faris, a U.S.-based, al Qaeda operative, planned to cut the bridge’s support cables but was deterred by the NYPD’s 24-hour coverage of the bridge. Faris sent al Qaeda leaders a coded message that, “the weather is too hot,” a reference to police presence. He was arrested in 2003, pleaded guilty and sentenced to federal prison. [SEE SECURING THE CITY, pp 82 - 96, "The Second Wave: Not the Best-Laid Plans"]

    2.     SUBWAY CYANIDE - A plot to disperse cyanide gas in the subway system was called off at the last minute by Iyman Zawahiri for what he said was “something bigger.” [SECURING THE CITY, p 93]

    3.     NEW YORK STOCK EXCHANGE; CITIGROUP HEADQUARTERS - Al Qaeda plot to use vehicles to bomb the New York Stock Exchange, Citibank, and other financial institutions. NYPD tactical teams were deployed to high-threat locations, and vehicle inspections were increased in response. Dhiren Barot/Issa al-Hindi, an associate of Khalid Sheikh Mohammed, pleaded guilty in 2006. [SECURING THE CITY, 181-182, 192-194, 203-204, 210, 262-263]

    4.     GARMENT DISTRICT PLOT - The NYPD and FBI arrested Uzair Paracha in New York based on intelligence developed overseas.  Paracha is reported to have discussed with top al Qaeda leaders the prospect of smuggling weapons and explosives – possibly even a nuclear device—into Manhattan’s Garment District through his father’s import-export business. [SECURING THE CITY, 90, 95, 154-155, 158]

    5.     HERALD SQUARE SUBWAY STATION - An NYPD undercover officer helped disrupt a 2004 plot to bomb the Herald Square subway station by lone-wolf admirers of Al Qaeda.  Shahawar Matin Siraj and James Elshafay were exposed as conspiring to blow up the 34th Street subway station, including surveilling the subway station, choosing the location for their bombs, and diagramming entrances and exits. SECURING THE CITY, 187-199]

    6.     PATH TRAIN and WTC RETAINING WALL - A multi-agency investigation disrupted a plot to attack NYC’s underground transit link with New Jersey in 2006. Law enforcement monitoring international chat rooms discovered suspects’ plan to destroy a PATH train tunnel and the retaining wall at Ground Zero, to flood the New York Financial District. The main operative was taken into custody in Lebanon and admitted to plotting the attack. [SECURING THE CITY, p 233]

    7.     JFK AIRPORT/BUCKEYE PIPELINE - Al Qaeda sympathizers plotted to bomb the fuel tanks and pipeline at John F. Kennedy Airport, through which jet fuel is transported from New Jersey through Staten Island, Brooklyn, and Queens. Four suspects were arrested in New York and Trinidad in 2007; three were later sentenced to life in prison. [SECURING THE CITY, p 235]

    8.     TRANSATLANTIC PLOT – A British-based plot to destroy seven commercial aircraft over the Atlantic Ocean or fly one or more of them into East Coast targets including New York City results in multiple arrests in London. 

    9.     LONG ISLAND RAILROAD - A plot to bomb a Manhattan-bound LIRR commuter train was discussed at the highest levels of al Qaeda operational leadership. See Bryant Neal Vinas of Long Island.

    10.  BRONX SYNAGOGUES – Disrupted in May 2009, the Riverdale plot targeted two Jewish centers—a synagogue and a Jewish community center—in the Bronx, and Stewart Air Base in Newburgh, NY. The NYPD and FBI arrested four men who were convicted in 2010. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009.]

    11.  NYC SUBWAY; TRANSIT HUBS - In September 2009, Najibullah Zazi and others planned a series of coordinated suicide bombings of NYC subway transit hubs at rush hour. [See The New TNT, a column for Newsweek Online (now on The Daily Beast), 28 September 2009, and details in Newsweek article, "Ray Kelly's Wars," 11 June 2012]

    12.  TIMES SQUARE - Faisal Shahzad attempted on May 1, 2010 to detonate a bomb inside an SUV parked in Times Square on a busy Saturday night. [see Newsweek, 53 Hours in the Life of a Near Disaster, and the Shadowland Journal, "Shahzad: The Rube Goldberg of Terrorism."

    13.  MANHATTAN SYNAGOGUE - The NYPD disrupted a plot by two Queens men, Ahmed Ferhani and Mohamed Mamdouh, to bomb a synagogue in Manhattan in May 2011.

    14.  JOSE PIMENTEL  - Muslim convert Jose Pimentel was arrested in November 2011 in Manhattan as he constructed a pipe bomb he intended to use against police and government property. He had followed instructions in an article from Al Qaeda's English-language magazine "Inspire” on “How to Build a Bomb in the Kitchen of Your Mom."


    Tuesday, May 08, 2012

    FRENCH ELECTION COVERAGE FROM NEWSWEEK & THE DAILY BEAST

    First, just for the atmosphere, take a look at these pictures Tracy McNicoll shot at the François Hollande victory celebration in Place de la Bastille that went on from late night May 6 to early morning May 7: http://ruesdeparadis.blogspot.fr/2012/05/tracy-mcnicolls-bastille-photos.html


    The Anti-Sarkozy

    May 7, 2012 2:43 PM EDTHollande will govern as a deliberate response to Sarko’s five exhausting years. By Tracy McNicoll. MORE

    Sarkozy Gets the Boot

    May 6, 2012 2:00 PM EDTHow the Socialist Francois Hollande won—and why his anti-austerity mandate may not hold up. MORE

    Can Sarkozy Pull Off a Win?

    May 4, 2012 1:29 PM EDTHe trails Hollande ahead of Sunday’s vote, but many believe the incumbent can’t lose.... MORE



    France’s Woman in the Wings

    Apr 23, 2012 1:15 PM EDT
    Marine Le Pen is well positioned to emerge even stronger in the 2017 elections. MORE

    Four Ways Sarko Got Screwed

    Apr 22, 2012 9:58 AM EDTThe French president survived Sunday’s vote.... MORE


    Does Sarko Miss DSK?

    Apr 16, 2012 12:00 AM EDTWhy the libertine would have been an ideal opponent. MORE


    The Usual (Islamist) Suspects

    Apr 4, 2012 1:37 PM EDTIn a crackdown after Toulouse, France arrested 10 suspected Islamic radicals. By Christopher Dickey.... MORE


    THE DSK SIDESHOW: