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Showing posts with label Trump. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Trump. Show all posts
Monday, October 28, 2019
Bagging Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi
Monday, September 16, 2019
Some Disturbing Predictions about Oil, War, and Democracy
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What a long, troubling week. It began with Trump's tweets about Camp David accords with the Taliban that he planned to brand as a triumph, then called off before anybody had actually heard of them. And this just days before the anniversary of 9/11. Then came word that the CIA had had to exfiltrate one of its best-placed assets in the Kremlin in 2017, possibly because Trump has trouble keeping secrets. The White House headlines continued with the firing of John Bolton. And the week ended with Iran's Houthi clients staging a massive attack on Saudi oil facilities that cut the Kingdom's oil production in half, raising the prospects of a new Middle East war and hastening the slide toward global recession. I lost count of the number of times I went on MSNBC to talk about all this, so I'll just post here the articles I worked on, and links to a couple of appearances.
Sunday, September 08, 2019
Writing About Trump and the Taliban, Talking About Boris Johnson’s Raucous Wreckage
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Wednesday, August 14, 2019
In These Perilous Times of Mass Protest, Can Democracy Triumph? That Goes for America, Too.
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Monday, July 29, 2019
U.S. v Iran, Then and Now
My essays on the U.S. v Iran, then and now.
They used to call the Iranian coast of the Persian Gulf "Exocet Alley." These snapshots taken by a workboat crewman are from 1986/7 near Iran's Sirri Island.
These are some of my recent columns reflecting on lessons learned, or not:
... The critical moment will come if or when American personnel are killed, which would fit a classic pattern when an American administration wants to go to war. It starts with picking villains, then picking fights, piling on economic pressure and carrying out a series of provocative moves to push the bad guys into a corner, until someone at some level in the target regime kills an American. ...
They used to call the Iranian coast of the Persian Gulf "Exocet Alley." These snapshots taken by a workboat crewman are from 1986/7 near Iran's Sirri Island.
For a colorful, detailed account of those days, see my book Expats, first published in 1990 and still in print, but also partially available on Google Books.
In the wake of the Beirut fiasco in the early 1980s, then the scandal of Iran-Contra, the Reagan administration was determined to show it could be tough on the mullahs. To do that it sided with Saddam Hussein in the war he had launched against Iran almost seven years before. The transparent subterfuge: putting American flags on Kuwaiti tankers carrying oil for Iraq and protected by U.S. warships. Then one of Saddam's fighter planes raiding Iranian shipping along "Exocet Alley" sent two Exocet missiles into the frigate USS Stark, killing 37 American sailors in May 1987. That did not seem to phase the Reagan administration.
As I wrote in Expats:
"So it was—manipulated by the Kuwaitis, competing with the Soviets, attacked by Iraq—the U.S. Navy girded for war [with Iran].
"The enemy knew who he was. He was the same enemy as in Beirut, the same one who had humiliated the Reagan administration only a few months before by exposing its secret deals to trade arms for hostages. Whether Washington said so or not, every move it made was against the Ayatollah Khomeini. But Iran's leaders were careful plotters, well aware of limits on their actions, meticulously calculating the level of provocation, the dangers of retaliation. They knew the Great Satan well, and wanted to do nothing to provoke directly the massive American deployment in the Persian Gulf."
In the wake of the Beirut fiasco in the early 1980s, then the scandal of Iran-Contra, the Reagan administration was determined to show it could be tough on the mullahs. To do that it sided with Saddam Hussein in the war he had launched against Iran almost seven years before. The transparent subterfuge: putting American flags on Kuwaiti tankers carrying oil for Iraq and protected by U.S. warships. Then one of Saddam's fighter planes raiding Iranian shipping along "Exocet Alley" sent two Exocet missiles into the frigate USS Stark, killing 37 American sailors in May 1987. That did not seem to phase the Reagan administration.
As I wrote in Expats:
"So it was—manipulated by the Kuwaitis, competing with the Soviets, attacked by Iraq—the U.S. Navy girded for war [with Iran].
"The enemy knew who he was. He was the same enemy as in Beirut, the same one who had humiliated the Reagan administration only a few months before by exposing its secret deals to trade arms for hostages. Whether Washington said so or not, every move it made was against the Ayatollah Khomeini. But Iran's leaders were careful plotters, well aware of limits on their actions, meticulously calculating the level of provocation, the dangers of retaliation. They knew the Great Satan well, and wanted to do nothing to provoke directly the massive American deployment in the Persian Gulf."
These are some of my recent columns reflecting on lessons learned, or not:
AND THEN WHAT?
CHRISTOPHER DICKEY January 28, 1019
... In case anyone doubted it, the Trump administration is now making a conspicuous link between its choreographed support for regime change in Venezuela and its desire to topple the mullahs in Iran. On Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo posted a tweet with three photographs: one showed Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro meeting with Iran’s “supreme leader” and its president, one with Maduro and Iran’s foreign minister, and then for good measure one from the archives of Maduro appearing alongside Raul Castro....
... In case anyone doubted it, the Trump administration is now making a conspicuous link between its choreographed support for regime change in Venezuela and its desire to topple the mullahs in Iran. On Friday, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo posted a tweet with three photographs: one showed Venezuelan strongman Nicolás Maduro meeting with Iran’s “supreme leader” and its president, one with Maduro and Iran’s foreign minister, and then for good measure one from the archives of Maduro appearing alongside Raul Castro....
THE BUCK STOPS
CHRISTOPHER DICKEY May 10, 2019
... The obvious response for hard-pressed regimes, none of which have economic weapons that can begin to match the dollar, is to use weapons of a more conventional variety. And as they realize that Trump has very little taste for any measures that deploy American troops for combat, they are tempted to push him toward military action he does not want to take—or a retreat he doesn’t want to make....
... The obvious response for hard-pressed regimes, none of which have economic weapons that can begin to match the dollar, is to use weapons of a more conventional variety. And as they realize that Trump has very little taste for any measures that deploy American troops for combat, they are tempted to push him toward military action he does not want to take—or a retreat he doesn’t want to make....
‘NO GOOD OUTCOMES’
CHRISTOPHER DICKEY May 17, 2019
... The image of a little girl in a crude fiberboard coffin has haunted me for more than 30 years. She was one of the many bodies pulled out of the waters of the Persian Gulf after an American warship shot an Iranian civilian airliner out of the sky one morning in the summer of 1988. Everyone on board the regularly scheduled milk run from Iran to Dubai had died; 290 people in all, 66 of them children. The crew of the USS Vincennes, skirmishing with Iranian gunboats inside Iranian territorial waters, had somehow concluded that Iran Air 655, an Airbus A300, was really an old F-14 fighter plane. ...
... The image of a little girl in a crude fiberboard coffin has haunted me for more than 30 years. She was one of the many bodies pulled out of the waters of the Persian Gulf after an American warship shot an Iranian civilian airliner out of the sky one morning in the summer of 1988. Everyone on board the regularly scheduled milk run from Iran to Dubai had died; 290 people in all, 66 of them children. The crew of the USS Vincennes, skirmishing with Iranian gunboats inside Iranian territorial waters, had somehow concluded that Iran Air 655, an Airbus A300, was really an old F-14 fighter plane. ...
CUI BONO
CHRISTOPHER DICKEY June 14, 2019
... The problem for Donald Trump is that his "maximum pressure" campaign has left him, in fact, with little room to maneuver on the economic front. When your pedal's to the metal, you can't push it further down. And Trump's eccentric, insulting truculence has made it hard for Pompeo to pull together a strong diplomatic effort, even among traditional allies....
... The problem for Donald Trump is that his "maximum pressure" campaign has left him, in fact, with little room to maneuver on the economic front. When your pedal's to the metal, you can't push it further down. And Trump's eccentric, insulting truculence has made it hard for Pompeo to pull together a strong diplomatic effort, even among traditional allies....
THROWBACK
CHRISTOPHER DICKEY June 19, 2019
.... He was 41 years old, wearing a red tie (at normal length): “A Billion Dollar Empire and an Ego to Match,” read the cover, “Citizen Trump” headlined the article. And he was, even way back then, thinking about a run for the presidency. To launch his tentative undeclared campaign he’d just paid $94,801 to run full page ads in The New York Times, The Washington Post and the Boston Globe. In an “open letter,” Trump attacked the foreign policy of then-President Ronald Reagan: “The world is laughing at America’s politicians,” he wrote, for protecting “ships we don’t own, carrying oil we don’t need destined for allies who won’t help.” ...
.... He was 41 years old, wearing a red tie (at normal length): “A Billion Dollar Empire and an Ego to Match,” read the cover, “Citizen Trump” headlined the article. And he was, even way back then, thinking about a run for the presidency. To launch his tentative undeclared campaign he’d just paid $94,801 to run full page ads in The New York Times, The Washington Post and the Boston Globe. In an “open letter,” Trump attacked the foreign policy of then-President Ronald Reagan: “The world is laughing at America’s politicians,” he wrote, for protecting “ships we don’t own, carrying oil we don’t need destined for allies who won’t help.” ...
DON'T EXHALE YET
CHRISTOPHER DICKEY June 22, 2019
... The critical moment will come if or when American personnel are killed, which would fit a classic pattern when an American administration wants to go to war. It starts with picking villains, then picking fights, piling on economic pressure and carrying out a series of provocative moves to push the bad guys into a corner, until someone at some level in the target regime kills an American. ...
ABC Australia radio called me to talk about this on July 29 this year:
In the past month, war games in the Gulf of Hormuz have seen drones shot down, oil tankers on fire, and ships impounded by the British and Iranians. The last tanker war in the Gulf was in the 1980s.
Ships were sunk, civilian airliners shot down, and the Americans supported Saddam Hussein’s Iraq in the war against Iran.
In the past month, war games in the Gulf of Hormuz have seen drones shot down, oil tankers on fire, and ships impounded by the British and Iranians. The last tanker war in the Gulf was in the 1980s.
Ships were sunk, civilian airliners shot down, and the Americans supported Saddam Hussein’s Iraq in the war against Iran.
Sunday, June 23, 2019
Monday, June 10, 2019
Christopher Dickey on Trump and D-Day+75: Essays, Video, Photographs
Trump's core political support is based on money for the rich and emotions for the masses. His photo ops with the British royals strike a note with the first, his shout-outs for the heroes of Omaha Beach speak to the latter.
LES ANGLO-SAXONS
U.S.-U.K. Relationship Status: It’s Complicated
As Britain plunges toward Brexit, the belief that Trump will receive it with open arms is really all they have left to cling to.
GATHERING STORM
Trumpists Are Fighting Against Everything the Heroes of D-Day Fought For
The president, born the year after the war ended, does not remember and probably does not want to know what brought it on or what it was fought to end.
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| Trump squinting at his teleprompter while reading his heavily scripted D-Day speech. |
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| Keep your friends close and your enemies closer, as the old saying goes. Here, Macron puts his hand on Trump's back while they both talk to the extraordinary Ray Lambert, 98, a medic who saved a great many lives at a great many lives at enormous risk to his own. |
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| When I first looked at this photo after I uploaded it to my phone, I thought Trump might be texting. But it's more likely this was a receiver, probably with a simultaneous translation as Macron spoke. But clearly it is not the same device everyone else is using. |
More photographs from Arromanches and Colleville-sur-Mer:
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| Scattered among the crosses and stars of David at the American Normandy Cemetery are those dedicated to soldiers whose bodies could not be identified. |
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| A lot of Europeans like to dress up like American soldiers and congregate here with vintage jeeps and motorcycles. This authentic looking group of Italians came from Parma. Great attention to historical detail, except for the guy on his cell phone. |
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| Dawn. The view from my window at the Hotel la Marine in Arromanches, with derelict caissons near and far. |
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| On the beach at Arromanches. |
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| The day after the D-DAy+75 celebrations. |
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